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Recent Posts
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
- Coming this week: An attractive new 10-year TIPS
- Disinflation triggers in June, but for how long?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
For decades they were called Certificates of Guaranteed Confiscation, which came back into prominence 20 years ago during the last…
The 3 main credit rating agencies downgraded US Treasuries in 2011, 2023, and 2025. All 3 cited increasing debt combined…
You kindly call Bessent's announcements on Wednesday morning and Thursday morning interventions. If these announcements were made by a corporate…
It is short notice for this who do not want to accept the new terms, and wish to withdraw their…
Categories
Tag Archives: interest-rates
January’s inflation report was a bit of a disaster
All-items and core inflation both rose much higher than expectations. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The January inflation report, just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, demonstrated that U.S. inflation is far from tamed. This was not good news. There … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
38 Comments
2024: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year 2024 brought many surprises. For example: The year 2025 is bringing uncertainty. I would not be surprised to see a fairly large sell-off in stock prices early in the year, with investors eager to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
Could the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6% in 2025?
It is a possibility, says a T.Rowe Price analyst. We haven’t seen that level in 25 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The chief investment officer at T.Rowe Price is making a bold prediction: Yields on the 10-year Treasury note could … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, interest-rates, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
IVOL, a once-hot inflation-fighting ETF, has produced poor results
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com My philosophy of investing is pretty simple: Stick to your asset allocation, layer in some inflation protection, and avoid undue risk, especially in your fixed-income holdings. So for fixed income, I am a fan of low-cost, … Continue reading
Posted in ETFs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged inflation, interest-rates, investing
19 Comments
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%
Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
22 Comments
Interesting...and frightening perspective....thank you. what would be,then, the least risky investment to buy now ? thank you