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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS auction gets a real yield of 1.367%
- Here comes a rather unexciting 5-year TIPS auction
- I Bond dilemma: Buy in April or just keep waiting?
- March inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.34%
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Hey Dave, long time reader first time poster. I like your site bro, it has really provided me with good…
Core CPI inflation already gets rid of most of the volatile swings and it's currently 2.6% versus 3.3% for all…
David, can you comment on this, or perhaps it’s worthy of an entire article: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/04/22/kevin-warsh-inflation-trend-pce-trump.html The Fed has long favored…
Not to worry - as testified under oath before Congress, if confirmed as Fed Chair, Warsh is going to change…
Categories
Tag Archives: interest-rates
January’s inflation report was a bit of a disaster
All-items and core inflation both rose much higher than expectations. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The January inflation report, just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, demonstrated that U.S. inflation is far from tamed. This was not good news. There … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
38 Comments
2024: An inflation-watcher’s year in review
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year 2024 brought many surprises. For example: The year 2025 is bringing uncertainty. I would not be surprised to see a fairly large sell-off in stock prices early in the year, with investors eager to … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged economy, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
Could the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6% in 2025?
It is a possibility, says a T.Rowe Price analyst. We haven’t seen that level in 25 years. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The chief investment officer at T.Rowe Price is making a bold prediction: Yields on the 10-year Treasury note could … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
Tagged economy, finance, interest-rates, personal-finance, Treasury investments
32 Comments
IVOL, a once-hot inflation-fighting ETF, has produced poor results
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com My philosophy of investing is pretty simple: Stick to your asset allocation, layer in some inflation protection, and avoid undue risk, especially in your fixed-income holdings. So for fixed income, I am a fan of low-cost, … Continue reading
Posted in ETFs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged inflation, interest-rates, investing
19 Comments
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 1.90%
Social Security COLA will be 2.5% for payments beginning in January. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The September inflation report, just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, gives the final pieces of data to determine 1) the new variable … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged Federal Reserve, finance, inflation, interest-rates, investing
22 Comments
I have been writing about TIPS since 2011 but for nearly a decade real yields were miserably low, often negative…