Author Archives: Tipswatch

Summary The after-inflation yield of 1.235% was higher than where this TIPS was trading in the secondary market. That indicates weak demand. The yield was the highest for any 29- to 30-year TIPS auction since February 2014. The inflation breakeven … Continue reading →

Summary The I Bond’s inflation-adjusted rate will rise slightly on November 1, so there is no pressure to buy before then. But could the I Bond’s fixed rate fall from its current 0.3%? The data suggest zero chance, but the … Continue reading →

Summary With a few days to go to Thursday’s auction, this TIPS is trading on the secondary market with a real yield of 1.19%, a two-year high. Investors will get this TIPS at a discount, because the after-inflation yield will … Continue reading →

Summary September inflation rose 0.1%, under the consensus estimate. Annual inflation fell to 2.3%, also under estimates. Today’s inflation report means the Social Security COLA will increase 2.8% for 2019, the highest increase since 2012. The data also set the … Continue reading →

Summary Bank CD rates are finally climbing toward reasonable levels. How long has it been since we have seen 3% for a 3-year term? But across most short-term maturities, U.S. Treasurys offer better yields, ultimate safety and freedom from state … Continue reading →