Author Archives: Tipswatch

Summary Non-seasonally adjusted inflation from September 2017 to March 2018 rose 1.11%, which creates the new annualized rate. Seasonally adjusted inflation in March actually dropped 0.1%, which was below expectations. Core inflation came in at 0.2%. Both ‘headline’ and core … Continue reading →

Summary The after-inflation yield was 21 basis points higher than the originating auction in January. Because this TIPS has a coupon rate of 0.5%, buyers got it at a discount: about $97.93 for $100.43 of value, after accrued inflation is … Continue reading →

Summary CUSIP 9128283R9, with a coupon rate of 0.5%, probably will auction with an after-inflation yield near 0.75%. That means buyers will get it at a discount to par value, about $97.50 per $100 before accrued inflation is added in. … Continue reading →

Summary Gasoline prices fell 0.9%, which helped to moderate overall inflation. Food prices held steady. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.45% in the month, meaning TIPS principal balances will rise 0.45% in April. The February number is the fifth in a … Continue reading →

Summary Inflation breakeven rates have been rising fairly steadily since February 2016 and now are in the ‘neutral’ zone of value. When inflation breakevens rise, TIPS outperform nominal Treasurys. The lower the breakeven rate, the higher the ‘margin of safety’ … Continue reading →