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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
TIPS watchers ask: What exactly did the Federal Reserve minutes say?
It was quite an auction-eve day in the market yesterday, with Federal Reserve minutes released at 2 p.m., setting both the stock and bond markets into a tizzy. We are setting up for an interesting Treasury auction today for a … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
1 Comment
Tips on TIPS: How to estimate (guess) a yield for an upcoming auction
Interest rates fluctuate, day by day, hour by hour. That fact makes predicting the future auction yield of a Treasury Inflation-Protected Security pretty difficult, even impossible. But you can guess, and sometimes you can get fairly close, if you watch … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
9 Comments
U.S. inflation ran a moderate 0.2% in July
‘Headline’ inflation, technically called the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), increased 0.2% in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, CPI-U has increased 2.0%. For … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
2 Comments
Up next: 5-year TIPS reissue will auction Thursday, Aug. 22, 2013
This auction is two weeks away, so I thought I’d take a preliminary peek at it. This will be a reissue of CUSIP 912828UX6, which first auctioned on April 18 with a yield to maturity of -1.311%. This 4-year, 8-month … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
5 Comments
Nice upswing today in TIPS, Treasury yields
I guess the Ben Bernanke euphoria wore off overnight, but just for bonds. The stock market took off, with both the Dow average and S&P 500 index setting record highs. (NOT adjusted for inflation, as my frequent reader Ed will … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
5 Comments
Please post some pictures from your trip! Thanks for your outstanding analysis! Without your clear and thoughtful explanations I never…