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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
That seems to be precisely what Ray Dalio is warning about with his latest book (How Countries Go Broke -…
[…] the November 1, 2026 reset is coming and the fixed rate is almost certainly going up. David Enna of…
I agree with you Ralph. Warsh is set to raise rates next month based on everything he has said thus…
Past the Trump Administration gives them more credit for long term thinking than they deserve. I doubt they’re looking past…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
Have we seen the end of 2.0%+ real yields?
Shorter-term rates will fall. The future of longer-term rates is uncertain. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Just a few days ago, on Aug. 22, the U.S. Treasury auctioned a reopened 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security with a real yield to maturity of … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing
16 Comments
30-year TIPS reopening auction gets real yield of 2.055%
Only the 2nd auction of this term since 2011 to get a real yield above 2.0%. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Real yields were ticking a bit higher Thursday morning and that trend gave investors in today’s 30-year TIPS reopening auction … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, interest-rates, personal-finance, The Treasury
9 Comments
One particular data point makes this 30-year TIPS auction look attractive
Markets remain overly optimistic about future inflation. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will offer at auction $8 billion in a reopened 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 912810TY4. While most small-scale investors will shy away from this … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance
20 Comments
U.S. annual inflation fell to 2.9% in July, lowest rate since March 2021
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Federal Reserve got the sort of inflation report it desired for July, with the U.S. annual rate dipping below 3.0% for the first time since March 2021. There were no surprises, with annual core inflation … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Savings Bond, Social Security
Tagged bonds, inflation, interest-rates, investing, personal-finance
11 Comments
Where is the I Bond’s composite rate heading in November?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We are halfway through the I Bond’s interest-rate-setting period, with the next reset coming on Nov. 1 — or more probably on Halloween Day, Oct. 31. On that day, the U.S. Treasury will announce both a … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, Treasury Bills, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance
33 Comments
"Eliminate not for profit status." That would have to include religious donations then too, right?