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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I am almost 100% sure to have a positive view of that 10-year TIPS reopening, but I really can't delve…
Politics aside (they are never aside, but hear me out ...) reducing the capital gains tax is the stupidest tax…
Only Congress can? Who gives the marching orders? The latest tax idea I've heard from Congress is a reduction in…
Calvin and Hobbes has an interesting take on the serenity prayer: https://improvisedlife.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Serenity-Prayer-Calvin-Hobbes.jpg
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
I Bond’s fixed rate: An updated projection
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back on Oct. 8 I posted an article, “The I Bond’s fixed rate will rise. But by how much?” attempting to forecast the potential new fixed rate for the U.S. Series I Savings Bond, which will be … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
49 Comments
A quick update on Thursday’s 5-year TIPS auction
There is an explanation for everything, right? By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As they say, “You learn something every day.” At least you should learn something every day. Thursday’s TIPS auction result, which you can read about here, caused some angst … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
67 Comments
New 5-year TIPS gets a real yield of 2.440%, again lower than expected
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Also: See my update on why this real yield was actually logical (to bond traders). Today’s Treasury auction of $22 billion in a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security generated a real yield to maturity of 2.440%, … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
54 Comments
Are U.S. Series I Savings Bonds losing their appeal?
As a short-term investment? Yes. But for the long term? I Bonds are still attractive. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Just one year ago, U.S. Series I Savings Bonds were still paying 9.62% annualized for a full six months, followed by … Continue reading
This week’s 5-year TIPS auction offers a solid investment opportunity
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $22 billion in a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, and the results should be attractive for investors seeking protection from future inflation. It should generate the highest real yield … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
31 Comments
No matter what the actual numbers call for, if the Fed raises rates Warsh and his team of Governors will…