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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
No matter what the actual numbers call for, if the Fed raises rates Warsh and his team of Governors will…
I am almost 100% sure to have a positive view of that 10-year TIPS reopening, but I really can't delve…
Politics aside (they are never aside, but hear me out ...) reducing the capital gains tax is the stupidest tax…
Only Congress can? Who gives the marching orders? The latest tax idea I've heard from Congress is a reduction in…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
September inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.94%; Social Security COLA will be 3.2%
I Bond’s new composite rate could exceed 5% at the November reset. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Investors in U.S. Series I Savings Bonds will see the investment’s annualized inflation-adjusted variable rate rise to 3.94% at the November 1 reset, up … Continue reading
The I Bond’s fixed rate will rise. But by how much?
Note: Since I posted this article on Oct. 8, real yields have declined about 20 basis points. That could shift the fixed-rate reset lower than I predicted, if this trend continues. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s clear to me that … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
36 Comments
September 2023: A month to remember
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am sitting in Vienna International Airport this morning, beginning the trip home after a three-week adventure across northern Greece, Albania, and North Macedonia. I had a great trip, and barely had time to gaze warily … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Investing in TIPS
37 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.094%, highest in 14 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Today’s reopening auction of CUSIP 91282CHP9 — creating a 9-year, 10-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — generated a real yield to maturity of 2.094%, the highest for any auction of this term since January 2009. Investors at … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
41 Comments
My schedule … and what’s coming up
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com By the time you read this, I will be arriving in Thessaloniki, Greece, to begin a 3-week jaunt across northern Greece, Albania, and North Macedonia. This is the land of Zeus and Alexander the Great, but … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS
10 Comments
Rates rise, presidents pass—the Republic has weatheredlouder storms than this.