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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
U.S. Inflation Rose 0.4% In October; Does That Lock In A Fed Rate Increase In December?
Summary While 0.4% looks high, core inflation remained in the moderate zone, just above 2.0% over the last 12 months. Energy costs, along with shelter costs, accounted for most of the October increase. There is nothing in today’s report that … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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TIPS Yields Are On The Rise; Is That Enough To Make Thursday’s 10-Year TIPS Reopening Attractive?
Summary The after-inflation yields on TIPS have been rising sharply over the last month. But TIPS are out-performing the overall bond market, with yields rising at a slower pace. A rise in the 10-year inflation-breakeven rate indicates that investors are … Continue reading
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Breaking News: Treasury Drops The Fixed Rate On I Bonds To 0.00%; EE Bonds Retain 20-Year Doubling
Summary With the 10-year TIPS yielding just 0.11%, the Treasury couldn’t justify continuing the 0.10% fixed rate. But the I Bond will get a six-month variable rate of 2.76%, making it an attractive 1-year investment, no matter what happens in … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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‘I Bond’ Countdown: Buy Before The November 1 Rate Reset, Or Wait?
Summary Buy now? You guarantee a one-year return of 1.56%, which is attractive. Wait until November 1? You could lose the 0.1% fixed rate, but earn more money in one year anyway. Either way, this isn’t going to be a … Continue reading
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30-Year TIPS Reopening Auctions With A Real Yield Of 0.666%, Lowest In More Than 3 Years
Summary Buyers had a pay a big premium for the 1.00% coupon rate, about $110.67 for $101.65 of value, when accrued inflation is added in. The inflation breakeven rate came in at about 1.83%, 31 basis points higher than at … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…