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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
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- Tentative auction schedule
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- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
5 yr tips yield currently at 2.646%. So we're looking good for 1.3% fixed on Ibonds?
Here's a link to the transcript of the Time interview with the President. Read TIME’s ‘What Trump Has Built’ Interview…
Yes, the calendar clock switches over on January 1, opening up for another $10,000 purchase. I'd recommend holding off on…
In this case, the I Bonds should have had a beneficiary; the executor did not know for sure. When the…
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
30-Year TIPS Auctions With Real Yield Of 0.501%, Lowest In Nearly 7 Years
Summary Today’s reopening auction generated a real yield of 0.501%, a whopping 59 basis points lower than the originating auction on February 21, 2019. Investors had to pay a huge premium for the 1.0% coupon rate, about $115.68 for about … Continue reading
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This Week’s 30-Year TIPS Auction Is Priced For Disaster
Summary The real yield looks likely to come in around 0.46%, down 63 basis points from the originating auction in February. Buyers will be paying a steep premium for the coupon rate of 1.0%, about 15% above par value. The … Continue reading
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TIP: Inflation Protection Is Having A Big, Happy Run In 2019
Summary The TIP ETF has had a total return of 8.33% so far in 2019, slightly outperforming the overall bond market. Shorter-term TIPS funds have also performed well, but the gain has been less dramatic. A relatively low 10-year inflation … Continue reading
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July Inflation: What It Means For Social Security, TIPS And I Bonds
Summary Both headline and core inflation numbers came in higher than expected, indicating inflation is not ‘dead’ and deflation is not looming. The July number sets a path for a 1.6% to 1.8% increase in the 2020 Social Security cost-of-living … Continue reading
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The Calculation: Why The Social Security COLA Will Sink In 2020
Summary The Social Security Administration uses a complex formula, and an unusual inflation index, to set the annual COLA increase. Once again, the Social Security COLA looks like it will be lower than overall U.S. inflation. (That wasn’t true for … Continue reading
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Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.