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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
30-Year TIPS Auction: Still Looks Too Risky
Summary With a few days to go to Thursday’s auction, this TIPS is trading on the secondary market with a real yield of 1.19%, a two-year high. Investors will get this TIPS at a discount, because the after-inflation yield will … Continue reading
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Inflation Report Sets Social Security COLA At 2.8%, I Bond Variable Rate At 2.32%
Summary September inflation rose 0.1%, under the consensus estimate. Annual inflation fell to 2.3%, also under estimates. Today’s inflation report means the Social Security COLA will increase 2.8% for 2019, the highest increase since 2012. The data also set the … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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CD Rates Are Rising, But Treasurys Are Still The Better Investment
Summary Bank CD rates are finally climbing toward reasonable levels. How long has it been since we have seen 3% for a 3-year term? But across most short-term maturities, U.S. Treasurys offer better yields, ultimate safety and freedom from state … Continue reading
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10-Year TIPS Reopening Generates Attractive Real Yield Of 0.910%
Summary The real yield of 0.910% was the second highest of this term through 43 auctions since May 2011. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 2.15%, on the higher end of recent auctions, but still acceptably in the “neutral … Continue reading
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Thursday’s 10-Year TIPS Reopening Looks Attractive, But …
Summary The current trend indicates a real yield around 0.88%, which is attractive, at least based on auctions over the last seven years. The problem? A 5-year TIPS is currently yielding 1 basis point higher than a 10-year. Why buy … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…