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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS auction gets a real yield of 1.367%
- Here comes a rather unexciting 5-year TIPS auction
- I Bond dilemma: Buy in April or just keep waiting?
- March inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.34%
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David, can you comment on this, or perhaps it’s worthy of an entire article: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/04/22/kevin-warsh-inflation-trend-pce-trump.html The Fed has long favored…
Not to worry - as testified under oath before Congress, if confirmed as Fed Chair, Warsh is going to change…
Unless we see an extended period of deflation (unlikely) your investment should perform about the same as today's auction.
Back in 2021, 10-year real yields were definitely negative. Those two TIPS got real yields of -0.987% in January and…
Categories
Category Archives: Retirement
August inflation: What it means for Social Security COLA, I Bonds and TIPS
U.S. inflation increased 0.3% in August, under the consensus estimate. At this point, the Social Security COLA will increase 5.8% for payments in January, but one month of data remains. The I Bond’s new inflation-adjusted variable rate is on track … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
3 Comments
July inflation: What it means for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security COLA
All-items inflation for July came in at 0.5% and 5.4% for the year. The Social Security COLA is still on track for about a 6% increase. I Bonds could get a variable rate of 6% (or higher) for six months. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
7 Comments
Social Security COLA: An increase of 6% looks likely for 2022
(And here’s the esoteric and confusing way that is calculated) By David Enna, Tipswatch.com August 11, 2021 update: The July inflation report keeps the COLA on track for an increase of about 6% Inflation trends through June 2021 make it … Continue reading
Posted in Retirement, Social Security
8 Comments
U.S. inflation surges 0.9% in June, nearly double expectations
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation surged 0.9% in June, much higher than expectations. It was the fifth month in a row that actual inflation far exceeded consensus estimates. My conclusion: Economists really have no idea where inflation is heading. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
8 Comments
Want inflation protection? Be wary when the fund salesman calls.
The Lord Abbet Inflation Focused fund is a mixed-bag short-term corporate bond fund, not a typical TIPS fund By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I have an elderly friend (she’s 90+ years old so I think it’s OK to call her elderly) … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Investing in TIPS, Retirement
11 Comments
Core CPI inflation already gets rid of most of the volatile swings and it's currently 2.6% versus 3.3% for all…