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Recent Posts
- Inflation moves higher in October, but annual numbers are missing
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The missing month of CPI due to the shutdown has come back to haunt, indeed. Figures that are indexed for…
[…] Tipswatch, Synthetic calculation results in 0.25% inflation for October (Nov. 26, 2025) […]
Yes, it's certainly going to be interesting. It's unlikely for the May rate to be under 1.20%.The most likely things…
There is an excellent chance when the I-Bond resets in May that we are going to get a fixed rate…
Categories
Category Archives: Social Security
August inflation: What it means for Social Security COLA, I Bonds and TIPS
U.S. inflation increased 0.3% in August, under the consensus estimate. At this point, the Social Security COLA will increase 5.8% for payments in January, but one month of data remains. The I Bond’s new inflation-adjusted variable rate is on track … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
3 Comments
July inflation: What it means for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security COLA
All-items inflation for July came in at 0.5% and 5.4% for the year. The Social Security COLA is still on track for about a 6% increase. I Bonds could get a variable rate of 6% (or higher) for six months. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
7 Comments
Social Security COLA: An increase of 6% looks likely for 2022
(And here’s the esoteric and confusing way that is calculated) By David Enna, Tipswatch.com August 11, 2021 update: The July inflation report keeps the COLA on track for an increase of about 6% Inflation trends through June 2021 make it … Continue reading
Posted in Retirement, Social Security
8 Comments
U.S. inflation surges 0.9% in June, nearly double expectations
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com U.S. inflation surged 0.9% in June, much higher than expectations. It was the fifth month in a row that actual inflation far exceeded consensus estimates. My conclusion: Economists really have no idea where inflation is heading. … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
8 Comments
Please post some pictures from your trip! Thanks for your outstanding analysis! Without your clear and thoughtful explanations I never…