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Recent Posts
- Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised)
- My schedule … and what’s coming next
- Treasury sets I Bond’s fixed rate at 1.40%; composite rate rises to 5.51%
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
That's how I read it. Monthly deflation for those months.
These are negative NSA numbers, and therefore, deflation in that month. Prices fell overall, even though inflation remained the longer-term…
Respectfully, aren't you misusing the meaning of deflation (inflation less than zero) and disinflation ( decreasing rate of inflation) ?
Sleep tight ;-)
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
On a rare Wednesday auction, 30-year TIPS reopening goes off with a real yield of 0.905%
Hmmm… a TIPS auction on a Wednesday? I have to admit, I didn’t see that coming. I have been covering TIPS auctions for 5 1/2 years, and every single one was on a Thursday, unless the Thursday was a federal … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Up next: A particularly ugly reopening auction for a 30-year TIPS
Summary CUSIP 912810RR1 is going to be pricey and unattractive. Federal Reserve didn’t do investors any favors by backing off from rate increases. Definitely avoid buying this TIPS in a taxable account; it will be cash flow negative. I posted … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in May – a lower number than expected
Summary The May number came in below the consensus estimate of 0.3%, but core inflation rose to 2.2% for the last 12 months. Increases in energy and shelter prices were offset by declines in food, apparel, and used cars. Non-seasonally … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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10-Year TIPS reopening auctions with a real yield of 0.275%
The after-inflation yield was the lowest for any 9- to 10-year TIPS in more than a year. This TIPS has a coupon rate of 0.625%, so buyers paid an adjusted price of about $103.53 for $100 of par value. The … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Checking in on Thursday’s 10-year TIPS reopening
I’ll be working tomorrow morning – I’m usually off on Thursdays – so I won’t be able to post a morning outlook. I wrote an analysis of this auction last week on SeekingAlpha.com, so check that out for a lot … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
Regarding the ping back on EE bonds-- it occurs to me that a useful way to think about savings bonds,…