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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
No matter what the actual numbers call for, if the Fed raises rates Warsh and his team of Governors will…
I am almost 100% sure to have a positive view of that 10-year TIPS reopening, but I really can't delve…
Politics aside (they are never aside, but hear me out ...) reducing the capital gains tax is the stupidest tax…
Only Congress can? Who gives the marching orders? The latest tax idea I've heard from Congress is a reduction in…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
10-year TIPS reopening auction should get best real yield in 14 years
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com This year, for the first time, I’ve soured on buying Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities at auction. Why? Because real yields have often come in a bit below “predicted” market value. That’s been especially true of the 10-year … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
17 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.6% in August; what does it mean for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com As expected, rising gasoline prices pushed U.S. inflation higher in August, rising a seasonally-adjusted 0.6% for the month and increasing 3.7% year-over-year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Core inflation, which removes food and energy, … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Retirement, Social Security
15 Comments
‘Inflation Guy’ explains seasonal adjustment (or lack thereof)
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I often caution readers about “non-seasonally adjusted inflation” and how it can create confusion and even distress as it sometimes skews away from headline inflation, the number you see reported each month. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation is … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
20 Comments
Question: What is a ‘normal’ real yield?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com One of the very first Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities I ever bought — CUSIP 912810FH6 — was auctioned on April 7, 1999, with a real yield to maturity of 3.899% and a coupon rate of 3.875%. I … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Investing in TIPS
11 Comments
Experiment: Let’s try out a very short-term TIPS
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Last week I wrote about my recent buying spree of medium- to longer-term Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, combined with some shorter-term nominal Treasurys and bank CDs. My goal is to take advantage of current high real … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
22 Comments
Rates rise, presidents pass—the Republic has weatheredlouder storms than this.