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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
No matter what the actual numbers call for, if the Fed raises rates Warsh and his team of Governors will…
I am almost 100% sure to have a positive view of that 10-year TIPS reopening, but I really can't delve…
Politics aside (they are never aside, but hear me out ...) reducing the capital gains tax is the stupidest tax…
Only Congress can? Who gives the marching orders? The latest tax idea I've heard from Congress is a reduction in…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
The I Bond exit ramp is now open; proceed with caution
Time redemptions to take full advantage of the recent 6.48% variable rate. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com First off, before I start talking about redeeming investments in U.S. Series I Savings Bonds, let’s take a moment to ponder just how worthwhile … Continue reading
Fitch downgrades U.S. debt and we should have seen it coming
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We got a surprise announcement yesterday that should surprise no one: Fitch Ratings downgraded the Issuer Default Rating on U.S. debt to ‘AA+’ from ‘AAA,’ with a stable outlook. This follows by almost exactly 12 years … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
44 Comments
Was July full of good news? Not exactly.
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com After a long journey home Monday — flying from Budapest to Munich and then on to Charlotte — I am just about ready to rejoin the real world. But with jet lag. On our entire trip … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Investing in TIPS, Treasury Bills
12 Comments
Social Security COLA looks likely to slip to 3.0% to 3.2% for 2024
Projecting the COLA is a fool’s game. But I’ll try anyway … By David Enna, Tipswatch.com With the release of the June inflation report on July 12, we now have a “pretty good” idea of where the Social Security cost-of-living … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Medicare, Retirement, Social Security
7 Comments
New 10-year TIPS auctions with a real yield of 1.495%, a disappointing result
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I am currently cruising down Germany’s Rhine River, with surprisingly limited internet access in a remote area, so this will need to be a quick post. Today’s Treasury offering of $17 billion in a new 10-year … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
15 Comments
Rates rise, presidents pass—the Republic has weatheredlouder storms than this.