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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS reopening auction arrives in a volatile week
- U.S. inflation rose 0.5% in May; annual rate hits 4.2%, highest in three years
- Academic study: I Bonds out-perform high-yield savings accounts
- TIPS values exist in a multiverse: What’s the correct reality?
- iShares target-date TIPS ETFs are growing in appeal … and deserve a look
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.169% to soft demand
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction is going to get interesting
- Energy shock sends U.S. inflation to a three-year high
- I filled out the top end of my TIPS ladder last week
- Treasury holds I Bond fixed rate at 0.90%; composite rate rises to 4.26%
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
I agree reducing the balance sheet is more likely than raising rates. If the votes aren't there to explicitly raise…
The oil shock doesn't even have to be severe to lead to some short term deflation. Global slowdown seems baked…
Thanks...I start RMD in 2029 when I turn 73. I have a similar strategy but I have also built some…
You are correct about the in-kind contributions. My strategy is to have all fixed income in my tax deferred IRA…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
‘The debt limit drama heats up,’ says Moody’s Analytics in new report
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Here’s an update on my last article, “Looming debt crisis is already roiling Treasury bill market,” which discussed the disruptions rippling through the bond market as the U.S. nears a debt-limit crisis. Moody’s Analytics, a market … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, Treasury Bills
46 Comments
Looming debt crisis is already roiling Treasury bill market
The 4-week Treasury yield is sending a message of fear. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, April 26: ‘The debt limit drama heats up,’ says Moody’s Analytics in new report On Thursday afternoon, I happened to be watching CNBC during a … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Retirement, Social Security, Treasury Bills
47 Comments
New 5-year TIPS gets a real yield of 1.32%, an attractive result
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The Treasury’s auction of $21 billion in a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security — CUSIP 91282CGW5 — resulted in a real yield to maturity of 1.320%, a bit higher than looked likely through the morning. Demand … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
43 Comments
A 5-year TIPS matured April 15. How did it do as an investment?
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Back in spring 2018, the Federal Reserve was continuing its wind-down of quantitative easing, raising its key short term interest rate on March 21 to a range of 1.50 – 1.75%. That led to a very … Continue reading
Posted in Inflation, Investing in TIPS
8 Comments
Thoughts on this week’s 5-year TIPS auction: It’s complicated
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $21 billion of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, CUSIP 91282CGW5. The coupon rate and real yield to maturity will be set by the auction results. For months, I … Continue reading
Posted in Bank CDs, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
51 Comments
Well Said, Interest rates are one of the hardest things to predict.