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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
10-Year TIPS Reopening Generates Real Yield Of 0.934%, Highest In 7 Years
Summary This was the highest after-inflation yield for any 9-to-10 year TIPS auctioned since January 2011. A yield of 0.934% above inflation is moving the return on a 10-year TIPS back into “more normal” levels after years of yield suppression. … Continue reading
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10-Year TIPS: Thursday’s Reopening Is Another Attractive Auction
Summary The real (after-inflation) yield looks likely to climb above 0.80%, a seven-year high for TIPS of this term. The inflation breakeven rate is climbing toward 2.15%, meaning this TIPS is not “cheap” versus a nominal Treasury. But it’s not … Continue reading
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U.S. Inflation Rose 0.2% In April, 2.5% Over Last 12 Months
Summary Headline inflation rose 0.2% in April, below the consensus estimate of 0.3%. Core inflation was up 0.1% for the month and has increased 2.1% over the last 12 months. That’s the definition of ‘moderate inflation.’ Non-seasonally adjusted inflation was … Continue reading
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Treasury Raises I Bond Fixed Rate To 0.30%, Highest Since 2009
Summary I Bonds purchased from May 1 to October 31 will carry a composite rate of 2.52% annualized. Real yields have been rising, which supports the Treasury’s decision to increase the fixed rate to 0.30%, the highest rate reset since … Continue reading
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5-Year TIPS Auctions With A Real Yield Of 0.631%, Highest In Nearly 9 Years
The after-inflation yield was the highest for any 4- to 5-year TIPS auction since October 2009. The coupon rate was set at 0.625%, the first time any TIPS of this term has had a coupon rate higher than 0.125% since … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…