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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
Thursday’s 5-Year TIPS Auction May Be The Most Attractive In Years
Summary Current trends are pointing at a real yield above 0.65%, the highest for any 4- to 5-year TIPS auction since October 2009. This TIPS will outperform a U.S. Series I Bond over five years and is very competitive with … Continue reading
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I Bond Investors: Hold Off On Purchases Despite A Declining Variable Rate
Summary The I Bond’s six-month variable rate will fall from 2.48% to 2.22% on May 1. The difference in yields is temporary and negligible. The fixed rate will also be reset May 1, and odds are that it will hold … Continue reading
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I Bond’s Variable Rate Will Fall To 2.22% On May 1
Summary Non-seasonally adjusted inflation from September 2017 to March 2018 rose 1.11%, which creates the new annualized rate. Seasonally adjusted inflation in March actually dropped 0.1%, which was below expectations. Core inflation came in at 0.2%. Both ‘headline’ and core … Continue reading
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10-Year TIPS Reopens With A Yield Of 0.764%, Highest In Nearly 7 Years
Summary The after-inflation yield was 21 basis points higher than the originating auction in January. Because this TIPS has a coupon rate of 0.5%, buyers got it at a discount: about $97.93 for $100.43 of value, after accrued inflation is … Continue reading
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10-Year TIPS Will Reopen Thursday At A Nice Discount
Summary CUSIP 9128283R9, with a coupon rate of 0.5%, probably will auction with an after-inflation yield near 0.75%. That means buyers will get it at a discount to par value, about $97.50 per $100 before accrued inflation is added in. … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…