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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
U.S. Inflation Rose 0.2% In February, Matching Expectations
Summary Gasoline prices fell 0.9%, which helped to moderate overall inflation. Food prices held steady. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.45% in the month, meaning TIPS principal balances will rise 0.45% in April. The February number is the fifth in a … Continue reading
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Inflation Breakeven Rate: What It Really Tells You About TIPS
Summary Inflation breakeven rates have been rising fairly steadily since February 2016 and now are in the ‘neutral’ zone of value. When inflation breakevens rise, TIPS outperform nominal Treasurys. The lower the breakeven rate, the higher the ‘margin of safety’ … Continue reading
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30-Year TIPS Auctions With A Real Yield Of 1.003%, Highest In 2 Years
Summary The real yield of 1.003% set the coupon rate at 1%, which is favorable for investors. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 2.12%, up 28 basis points from a June 2017 auction of a similar term. The market … Continue reading
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U.S. Inflation Jumped 0.5% In January, Higher Than Expected
Summary The 0.5% increase in ‘headline’ inflation was well above the 0.3% consensus estimate. Core inflation rose 0.3%, also above the consensus estimate of 0.2%. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.54% in January; what does this mean for holders of TIPS … Continue reading
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A New 30-Year TIPS? Skip It
Summary 30-year real yields have been climbing, but not as quickly as yields for 5- and 10-year TIPS. The inflation breakeven rate is currently a reasonable 2.15%, making this issue competitive with a nominal 30-year Treasury. Risk/reward just isn’t good … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…