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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
10-Year TIPS Will Reopen Thursday, Here’s What To Expect
Summary The current real yield of 0.34% would fall below results for the last five 9- to 10-year TIPS auctions. At that yield, investors would have to pay a slight premium to par value. The current inflation breakeven rate of … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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August Inflation: Better News For TIPS, I Bonds And Social Security Benefits
Summary CPI-U increased 0.4% in August, an upside surprise that broke a string of smaller-than-expected numbers. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation increased 0.3%, which will boost TIPS principal balances in October and brings the I Bond’s future variable rate up to 1.4%, … Continue reading
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5-Year TIPS Reopening Auctions With A Real Yield Of 0.117%
Summary The after-inflation yield for CUSIP 912828X39 came in right at the expected number, rising 12 basis points since the originating auction on April 20. The inflation breakeven rate was 1.66%, which is attractive when measured against nominal Treasurys. This … Continue reading
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5-Year TIPS Will Reopen August 24; Is It Worth A Look?
Summary The after-inflation yield is currently running at 0.11%, up from -0.049% at the originating auction in April. The inflation breakeven rate is 1.61%, making this TIPS attractive versus a nominal Treasury. Key question: Are there better, equally safe shorter-term … Continue reading
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July Inflation: Bad News For TIPS, I Bonds And Social Security Benefits
Summary Headline inflation rose 0.1% in July, missing the consensus forecast of 0.2% and continuing a trend of downside misses. Non-seasonally adjusted CPI-U declined 0.07% in July, which will lower principal balances for TIPS in August and tamper the November … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
2 Comments
As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…