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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
Going Negative: 5-Year TIPS Auctions With A Real Yield Of -0.049%
Summary Returns for this new TIPS will slightly lag inflation over the next five years. The negative yield is an omen that the markets see a troubled economy ahead. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 1.82%, a little higher … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
10 Comments
I Bond Dilemma: Buy Now, Buy Later, Or Split The Decision?
Summary Buy before May 1 and get a higher variable rate; buy after May 1 and possibly get a higher fixed rate. Waiting will cost you short term, and it might take about 4 years to break even. But I … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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New 5-Year TIPS Auction Is Suddenly Looking Like A Loser
Summary Real yields have declined sharply in recent days, dropping the 5-year yield to 0.03%. When the 5-year TIPS yield approaches zero, I Bonds and bank CDs become attractive alternatives. Inflation expectations have been declining over the last month, even … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
Inflation Dips In March, I Bond’s Variable Rate Will Fall To 1.96% On May 1
Summary At the May 1 reset, the I Bond’s variable rate will fall from 2.76% to 1.96%. We don’t know yet what the new fixed rate will be. Will it rise to 0.1%? Still possible. Should you buy I Bonds … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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I Bond Investors: April May Be Your ‘Decision Month’
Summary Inflation report on April 14 will set the I Bond’s six-month variable rate, taking effect May 1. Right now, it looks like the new six-month variable rate could be lower than the current 2.76%. However, it’s possible the May … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
1 Comment
As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…