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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
10-Year TIPS Reopening Auctions With A Real Yield Of 0.466%
Summary 10-year TIPS yields have been holding under 0.50% even as the Federal Reserve raises short-term rates. The inflation breakeven rate dipped to 1.95%, under the 2.00% mark where it had been riding for most of 2017. Inflation expectations are … Continue reading
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10-year TIPS will reopen at auction March 23; will yield be high enough to be attractive?
Summary A week out, CUSIP 912828V49 is trading with a real yield to maturity of 0.48%. Its inflation-breakeven rate is 2.04%, right in the mid-range of inflation expectations since 2009. Is it a buy? Maybe not at the current yield, … Continue reading
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U.S. Inflation Rose 0.1% In February; Now Up 2.7% Over 12 Months
Summary The 12-month increase of 2.7% was the largest since March 2012. Gasoline prices fell in February, moderating overall inflation. But they’re still up 30.7% over the last year. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.31%, which will boost the principal balances … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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Real interest rates are on the rise — TIPS could get interesting in 2017
Summary The real yield on a 10-year TIPS has risen 29 basis points in recent weeks. At the same time, the inflation breakeven rate has declined – slightly. The driving force? A rise in nominal rates, which will nearly always … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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New 30-Year TIPS Auctions With A Real Yield Of 0.923%
Summary The coupon rate was set at 0.875%, so buyers got it at a discounted price of about $98.76 for $100 of value. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 2.13%, higher than recent auctions. Market reaction to the auction … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…