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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
The upcoming 5 year TIPS auction is on October 22, 2026. Still waiting for the proposed real yield. As of…
Hi Dan, I did not make a "personal attack on David." Please don't exaggerate things. I simply pointed out issues…
I set up my ID.me wallet. No issues. Then tried to sign in to Treasury Direct. All seemed to be…
Yes, 1.3% looks solid, with a shot at 1.4%. That assumes the Treasury follows past practices.
Categories
Category Archives: Investing in TIPS
5-Year TIPS Reopening Gets Real Yield Of 1.129%, Highest In Nearly 10 Years
Summary You have to go back to April 2009 to find a 4- to 5-year TIPS auction with a higher real yield. The inflation breakeven rate came in at 1.51%, very low by recent trends and a favorable indicator for … Continue reading
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This Week’s 5-Year TIPS Auction Is A ‘Screaming Buy’
Summary The real yield could be about 1.12%, the highest after-inflation yield in nearly 10 years of 4- to 5-year TIPS auctions. The real yield curve has inverted, with the 5-year TIPS now yielding about 6 basis points more than … Continue reading
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Falling Gas Prices Leave U.S. Inflation Unchanged In November
Summary Headline inflation came in at 0.0% in November and was up 2.2% year-over-year. Core inflation was up 0.2% for the month and 2.2% for the year. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation actually fell 0.33% in November, which means investors in TIPS … Continue reading
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10-Year TIPS Auctions At 1.109%, Highest In Nearly 8 Years
Summary The last time a 9- to 10-year TIPS auctioned with a real yield above 1.00% was on January 20, 2011, at 1.17%. Buyers got this TIPS at a substantial discount because the real yield was well above the coupon … Continue reading
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Is It Time To Buy TIPS ETFs, Mutual Funds?
Summary TIPS funds have taken a hit in 2018, but that damage has been partially offset by distributions caused by rising inflation. The total return of shorter-term TIPS funds remains positive for the year, thanks to a shorter duration and … Continue reading
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As things stand today (two weeks out) the 5-year inflation breakeven rate is about 2.37%. If you think inflation will…