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Recent Posts
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
- Here’s an illustrated guide to TreasuryDirect’s new login process
- This week’s 10-year TIPS auction has strong appeal
- U.S. inflation holds at 3.4% for August. Will that lead to a rate hike?
- TreasuryDirect provides more guidance on ID.me transition
- Wise advice: ‘Don’t die with I Bonds’
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Here is some evidence for the people apprehensive about using ID.me for Treasury Direct login. https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2026/09/22/is-your-drivers-license-on-the-dark-web
I agree; I think it's inevitable, in fact it's already happening – inflation running above target for five years and…
That paper's summary states that inflation combined with the financial repression (lower interest rates than inflation) would indeed reduce the…
David, you have way too much confidence in the people running the system. Of course they are going to inflate!…
Categories
Category Archives: TreasuryDirect
Deciphering TreasuryDirect’s mysterious gift-box email
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Update, Jan 31, 2025: I noted in this article that I was going to make a “test” I Bond purchase in January 2025 to see if it would trigger a purchase limit because of gift box … Continue reading
Posted in I Bond, Inflation, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged personal-finance, The Treasury
85 Comments
What about Thursday’s auction of a new 5-year TIPS?
Real yields are holding up, but the curve is widening. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The October auction of a new 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security is always a baffler. The auctioned real yield is highly likely to be lower than many … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, inflation, investing, personal-finance, TIPS
20 Comments
The one key rule for using TreasuryDirect …
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com TreasuryDirect gets a lot of bad press, mostly deserved, for presenting a clunky website with a bureaucratic mess of rules and usually lousy customer service. I’ve been using TreasuryDirect services for at least 32 years, even … Continue reading
Forecast: The next I Bond fixed rate should be 1.20%
But there is danger of an ‘outlier’ decision by the Treasury. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com It’s already Oct. 7 and we are closing in on Treasury’s November reset of the fixed and variable rates for U.S. Series I Savings Bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Savings Bond, TreasuryDirect
Tagged bonds, investing, Treasury investments
20 Comments
Considering an I Bond rollover? Do it the right way.
For some investors, cashing in low-fixed-rate I Bonds makes sense, combined with the gift-box strategy to add to holdings in October. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com We are just a month and a few days away from the November 1 rate … Continue reading
Posted in Cash alternatives, Inflation, Retirement, Savings Bond, Taxes, TreasuryDirect
Tagged inflation, investing, personal-finance
41 Comments
I guess it is all about the money. Or maybe your politics align. Personally, I would not touch deposit accounts…