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Recent Posts
- Schwab analysts weigh in on bond-market disruptions
- Secretary Bessent, take note: Treasury yields are not ‘too high’
- 30-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.973%, highest in nearly 25 years
- TreasuryDirect is launching a controversial login system
- Will this week’s stellar 30-year TIPS auction attract investors?
- ‘No surprises’ July inflation report gives the Fed a break
- The I Bond’s fixed rate is going higher. But how much?
- Federal Reserve is losing credibility, at the worst possible time
- Forecasting Social Security’s 2027 COLA: My guess is 3.6%
- 10-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.438%, a great result for investors
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
Re: "Write the TD IG!" As a number of other posters here have suggested. The implied faith is touching. But…
The Treasury FAQs address entities: I manage an entity account, such as a corporation, trust, or estate. How will ID.me…
Write the TD IG!
ID.me and October 2026 deadline: What if I never received an email from Treasury Direct notifying me of the change?…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
10-Year TIPS Reopens At Auction With A Real Yield Of 0.450%
Summary The after-inflation yield of 0.450% was 20 basis points higher than where 10-year TIPS were trading on September 8. Today’s investors benefited from the Federal Reserve’s announced intention Wednesday to unwind its bond portfolio and continue gradually increasing short-term … Continue reading
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10-Year TIPS Will Reopen Thursday, Here’s What To Expect
Summary The current real yield of 0.34% would fall below results for the last five 9- to 10-year TIPS auctions. At that yield, investors would have to pay a slight premium to par value. The current inflation breakeven rate of … Continue reading
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August Inflation: Better News For TIPS, I Bonds And Social Security Benefits
Summary CPI-U increased 0.4% in August, an upside surprise that broke a string of smaller-than-expected numbers. Non-seasonally adjusted inflation increased 0.3%, which will boost TIPS principal balances in October and brings the I Bond’s future variable rate up to 1.4%, … Continue reading
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5-Year TIPS Reopening Auctions With A Real Yield Of 0.117%
Summary The after-inflation yield for CUSIP 912828X39 came in right at the expected number, rising 12 basis points since the originating auction on April 20. The inflation breakeven rate was 1.66%, which is attractive when measured against nominal Treasurys. This … Continue reading
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5-Year TIPS Will Reopen August 24; Is It Worth A Look?
Summary The after-inflation yield is currently running at 0.11%, up from -0.049% at the originating auction in April. The inflation breakeven rate is 1.61%, making this TIPS attractive versus a nominal Treasury. Key question: Are there better, equally safe shorter-term … Continue reading
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Loren Sciurba serves as the Deputy Inspector General, exercising the delegated duties of the Treasury Inspector General position for the…