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Recent Posts
- 5-year TIPS auction gets a real yield of 1.367%
- Here comes a rather unexciting 5-year TIPS auction
- I Bond dilemma: Buy in April or just keep waiting?
- March inflation sets I Bond’s new variable rate at 3.34%
- A 5-year TIPS is maturing April 15. How did it do as an investment?
- I Bond’s fixed rate is likely to hold at 0.90% at May 1 reset
- War in Iran: Sliding toward a financial crisis
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 1.896%
- Chaos of war bolsters 10-year real yield heading into this week’s auction
- February inflation rose 0.3%, as expected. Is this our last ‘tame’ reading for awhile?
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
David, can you comment on this, or perhaps it’s worthy of an entire article: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/04/22/kevin-warsh-inflation-trend-pce-trump.html The Fed has long favored…
Not to worry - as testified under oath before Congress, if confirmed as Fed Chair, Warsh is going to change…
Unless we see an extended period of deflation (unlikely) your investment should perform about the same as today's auction.
Back in 2021, 10-year real yields were definitely negative. Those two TIPS got real yields of -0.987% in January and…
Categories
Author Archives: Tipswatch
TIPS are rallying (sort of) as stocks wobble
A 10-year TIPS is yielding 0.34% (plus inflation) today on the secondary market, a drop of 27 basis points since the last auction Sept. 18, which resulted in a yield of 0.61%. That’s a pretty big turnaround for TIPS. The … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
11 Comments
Chart of the day: Stocks versus TIPS over the last month
Back on Sept. 4 I posted ‘Why TIPS aren’t a good buy right now: A story in charts‘, in which tried to explain why the TIPS market looked a little out-of-whack, with TIPS yields dropping too low (and TIPS prices rising … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
2 Comments
10-year TIPS reopening auctions with a yield of 0.610%
The Treasury just posted results of today’s reopening of CUSIP 912828WU0, which went off with a yield to maturity of 0.610%, plus inflation. Just before the auction closed, Reuters’ survey of primary dealers predicted a yield of 0.577%. Because this … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
3 Comments
Quick check-in on today’s 10-year TIPS reopening
The TIPS market is looking fairly sedate this morning, so we should be able to get a pretty good idea of how today’s reopening of CUSIP 912828WU0 will go. This will be a 9-year, 10-month TIPS with a coupon rate … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
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What exactly did the Federal Reserve say Wednesday to spook the bond market?
While we’re waiting for more data on today’s 10-year TIPS reopening, I thought I’d take a look at the minutes statement issued Wednesday by the Federal Reserve. It came on the same day as a weak inflation report, causing double … Continue reading
Posted in Investing in TIPS
4 Comments
Core CPI inflation already gets rid of most of the volatile swings and it's currently 2.6% versus 3.3% for all…