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Recent Posts
- A historically awful 5-year TIPS matured Oct. 15. How did it do as an investment?
- The I Bond’s new fixed rate should be 1.40%. However …
- 5-year TIPS auction gets real yield of 2.367% on a strong day for Treasurys
- This week’s 5-year TIPS auction may be the ‘ultimate’ conservative investment
- September inflation sets I Bond variable rate at 4.08%; Social Security COLA will be 3.6%
- ‘TIPS are for losers’ … Really?
- Trump just opened the Pandora’s box of inflation
- Tremors are rippling across the U.S. Treasury market
- TIPS vs. I Bonds: Let’s do the math
- 10-year TIPS reopening gets real yield of 2.653%, highest in nearly 18 years
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Links
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- Bloomberg: Current yields
- Chart: 10-year inflation breakeven rate
- Chart: 10-year TIPS yields
- Chart: 30-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 30-year TIPS real yields
- Chart: 5-year TIPS inflation breakeven rates
- Chart: 5-year TIPS yields
- Historical Auction Query
- Historical I Bonds data
- Historical inflation data
- Historical TIPS data
- Tentative auction schedule
- TIPS/CPI Data
- Treasury Direct
- U.S. Inflation Calculator
- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Estimates
- WSJ: Current TIPS values
Archives
[…] details are laid out in Tipswatch’s September 9 report on Treasury’s updated guidance, which reproduces the agency’s email and…
I did not have too much problem with Treasury Direct electronic iBonds when my mother passed in 2023. I was…
Exactly. It looked at the time like there might never be an opportunity to get a decent return on fixed…
Yes, holding off was wise. Locking in ultra low interest rates is almost never advisable. My (imperfect) spreadsheet shows .5%…
Categories
Category Archives: Federal Reserve
Charts tell the story: The Federal Reserve has room to move (and keep) rates higher
By David Enna, Tipswatch.com When I was a kid, my parents encouraged me to open a “passbook savings account” at a nearby savings & loan. As I recall, that account was paying 5% interest. At the time, I wasn’t impressed. … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation
25 Comments
U.S. inflation rose 0.1% in August: What it means for TIPS, I Bonds and Social Security COLA
This report is going to roil financial markets. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Surprises, surprises. Financial markets, which had been rallying over the last week on expectations of falling prices, got an inflation reality check today: Seasonally adjusted U.S. inflation rose … Continue reading
Video: An economist offers a common-sense look at U.S. inflation
‘We are, unfortunately, about to go through a period of prolonged, persistent high inflation.’ By David Enna, Tipswatch.com There’s a lot of speculation in financial markets right now about an upcoming dip in U.S. inflation, triggered by a strong decline … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation
10 Comments
U.S. inflation went flat in July: What it means for I Bonds, TIPS and Social Security COLA
Core inflation continues at 5.9%, an unsustainable rate. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com I warned you: Inflation numbers are notoriously fickle in the summer months, and so here we go: All-items U.S. inflation increased 0.0% in July on a seasonally adjusted … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, I Bond, Inflation, Investing in TIPS, Social Security
40 Comments
Is the Federal Reserve really tightening? So far, not so much.
Quantitative tightening will have to ramp up in coming months if the Fed wants to bring U.S. inflation down. By David Enna, Tipswatch.com The basic monetary rule of the last two decades has been this: When the economy slips lower … Continue reading
Posted in Federal Reserve, Inflation
25 Comments
Today is the last day of the TD ID.me transition. It seemed important enough to mark with a post. Tomorrow,…